Yossi Schwartz ISL (RCIT section in Israel/Occupied Palestine) 05.03.2026
According to a report in CNN, the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is working to arm Kurdish, Balochis and Arab forces with the aim of igniting a popular uprising in Iran’s peripheral territories that are involved in a move designed to confuse Iranian security forces on the Iraqi border and enable protests in major cities.
Trump knows that if his war kills many American soldiers in Iran or in neighboring countries, he will end up as president of the United States, and therefore he is looking for other cannon fodder.
The United States is stepping up its efforts to form a broad opposition within Iran, with the aim of realizing the main goal of the attack on the regime – its complete replacement. According to intelligence sources and assessments, the US effort is also trying to enlist support from within the ranks of the Iranian regular army, from public figures and the local leadership, and even from senior regime officials who are considered relatively moderate.
Trump himself hinted at this effort in an interview with the Politico website, on Tuesday. When asked if it was too late to consider working with officials in a new government in Iran, he replied: “No, not too late. 49 killed, don’t forget, so it’s pretty deep, right? New ones are emerging. A lot of people want the job. Some of them will be very good.”
As part of the contacts and the attempt to promote an alliance of minorities against the regime in Iran, the Americans are holding talks with Kurdish leaders in northern Iran and Iraq, with the leaders of the Baluch militias in southeastern Iran, with royalist groups, and with Arabs in the Khuzestan Province. According to reports, the goal is to prepare all these elements for the decisive day when, after crushing the regime’s forces, especially the Revolutionary Guards, it will be possible to overthrow the current regime. However, this is unlikely, since supporters of the regime while Iran is under attack are an overwhelming majority.
According to American and Zionist intelligence sources, the American-Zionist offensive will take at least a week. Reports indicate that the Revolutionary Guards are preparing themselves and auxiliary units such as the Basij for this day, and the expectation is that the struggle will be very difficult and there is a possibility that the pro-American and Zionist forces will only succeed in taking over areas close to the border with Iraq. Districts in the periphery, where separatist movements are strong.
On February 22, five Iranian Kurdish groups, led by the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan, formed a joint coalition with the declared goal of overthrowing the regime. This coalition employs Peshmerga fighters who have undergone training in Iraq and have a good grasp of the geography of the mountainous area on the border between the two countries.
Another ethnic group that is waging an ongoing insurgency is the Baloch, a Sunni minority that lives between the territories of Iran, Pakistan, and Afghanistan and is interested in self-determination and autonomy. In recent years, the Revolutionary Guards have been waging an unprecedented campaign of repression against the Baluchi minority. The main organization active on the Iranian side is Jaish al-Adel, which in December 2025 merged with other groups into the Popular Fighters Front and declared a broad struggle against the regime.
The third ethnic minority in Iran with a history of armed resistance to the government are the Arabs in the southern province of Khuzestan, a predominantly Shiite Arab with a population of more than 1.5 million people. In 2022, large demonstrations were held in the province against Tehran’s rule, and there were even exchanges of fire between Arab separatists and regime forces, during which several people were killed.
The idea of making use of Iran’s ethnic minorities, despite being practical due to the presence of resistance organizations on the ground, is opposed not only by the regime’s many supporters, but also by the Iranian opposition. Many of Iran’s opponents hold nationalist and even nationalist worldviews, and will find it difficult to cooperate with rebels with autonomous aspirations that contradict Iran’s territorial integrity.
The desperate hope of Trump and Netanyahu is that in the face of a scenario in which Iran is embroiled in an internal existential struggle and external military and economic pressure, the elected political echelons will “show responsibility” and together with the army, stand against the mentality of war until victory led by the Revolutionary Guards, and seize power in a coup.
This is a pie in the sky. Trump puts himself in a trap. Using these minorities will not bring down the regime. To end the war now will be viewed as a victory for Iran. To send out troops to Iran will face massive opposition in the streets of the USA.
Revolutionary defeat for the American and the Zionist imperialism!
For a Leninist anti imperialist united front!